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Race-by-race tips and preview for Kembla on Thursday

There are plenty of options for punters on an eight-race card at Kembla.

There are plenty of options for punters on an eight-race card at Kembla.Credit:Morgan Hancock

Race 2: MAIDEN PLATE (1000m)

Back to the short course for the maidens, and bad luck from the outside barrier seems the only hurdle for smart three-year-old gelding 6. Spaceboy from the Gary Portelli yard at Warwick Farm. Has run seven placings from nine starts, and trialled the house down winning by seven lengths running his last 600m in 33 seconds flat!

Dangers: Expecting further improvement from two-year-old Randwick filly 9. Kittyhawk Flyer, who hit the line well on debut at Newcastle behind a potentially very smart winner, and gets a natural big pull in the weights after rider’s claim. Another one from the Farm, three-year-old 4. No Doubt A Star has trialled since closing off late as a hot favourite at Goulburn; while local three-year-old 2. Doctor Mancini (Wandjina x Melrose Place by Purrealist) debuts off a nice trial win, and drawn to get a handy trail.

How to play it: Spaceboy to win and first four 6/2,4,9/2,4,9/2,4,9
Odds and Evens: Evens

Race 3: 2YO MAIDEN PLATE (1000m)

Staying at the distance for the babies only, and the betting will be pivotal. Well-bred colt 3. San Antonio (Snitzel x Bella Sunday by Sunday Silence) from the firing Maher-Eustace yard at Warwick Farm looks tough to beat on debut off two trial wins, especially the latest when he sat very wide, but still cruised through the line under a nice hold showing a lovely full stride.

Dangers: Randwick colt 4. Strategist stuck on OK as a well backed favourite on debut at Scone, and has since trialled OK; while debutant Randwick filly 6. Hoopla (Hinchinbrook x Our Miss Jones by Darci Brahma) looks forward enough off two spaced and winning trials.

How to play it: San Antonio to win
Odds and Evens: Split

Race 4: C, G & E MAIDEN HCP (1400m)

Keen on three-year-old Warwick Farm gelding 2. Zounate from the Portelli stable first-up after showing enough in his first prep. Did plenty of work from the 600m winning the second of two lead-up trials, and draws to get the right run.

Dangers: Far North Coast three-year-old 4. Divine Eleven was solid through the line here, despite drifting in betting, after failing as a hot favourite first-up at Eagle Farm. Warwick Farm three-year-old 6. Rebel Bro has found the line in his last couple at Orange and Nowra, where the winner then went down only narrowly at Hawkesbury on Tuesday. Ready to peak, but some query over this trip. Big watch on another three-year-old 3. Cosmic Bullet who debuts in blinkers off two trials, getting home late behind Zounate in his latest.

How to play it: Zounate each-way and box trifecta 2,3,4,6
Odds and Evens: Evens

Race 5: F & M MAIDEN HCP (1400m)

Now the girls’ turn over the same journey, and it’s a far more even and open challenge. Like the placement third-up for the only two-year-old in the field, 9. Hirondelle from the Godolphin camp. Did her best work late on debut in the heavy at Hawkesbury before again finishing well here over same trip when hard in the market. Can peak now at third run carrying 1kg less.

Dangers: Rosehill four-year-old 8. Any Wish is well into her prep and still trying to break through after 10 starts, but should find this easier than her last few. Drawn wide but if she runs up to her effort at Newcastle two back behind Reinvest she’ll be right in the finish. Randwick filly 2. Myzaboom made steady improvement into her second career run at Goulburn, and should be in the mix from a middle gate; while stablemate filly 7. Vivid Art comes out of that same Goulburn race when overhauled after leading to the turn. Include Hawkesbury mare 11. Just Like Jessie in exotics after running a place in her last three.

How to play it: Hirondelle to win
Odds and Evens: Split

Race 6: CLASS 2 HCP (1500m)

Good competitive race, with a few genuine chances. Progressive three-year-old filly 4. Alchermes from the Ron Quinton stable at Randwick has quickly reached this grade after sweeping home to win her last two impressively, and looks to have superior scope over the rest. Draws to get the right trail off the fence, and show nice acceleration early in the straight.

Dangers: Rival three-year-old Randwick gelding 2. Bullet Fly also looks well placed fourth-up. Wasn’t far away in a stronger BM 64 at Newcastle, and should be hitting peak fitness. Surprised if one of those two doesn’t win, but improving Warwick Farm filly 5. Sky Diamonds has ability, and was good late behind a smart galloper at Newcastle first-up. Don’t understate Goulburn five-year-old 3. El Coyote who finished hard at home in first run for eight months. While this is harder, second-up figures are good.

How to play it: Alchermes to win and quinella 2 and 4
Odds and Evens: Evens

Race 7: CLASS 1 HCP (1200m)

One of the tougher races on the card. Progressive three-year-old 4. Snitzify from team Snowden at Randwick looks well suited second-up on the bigger track after charging late to miss narrowly first-up in a BM 64 at Gosford. Draws to get a nice run a few lengths off the speed.

Dangers: Watch the betting on Warwick Farm three-year-old 2. Minted who returns off a near 11-month break as a gelding, and fitted with two trials, although has to cart 61kg from a wide gate. Randwick three-year-old 3. Fiery Red has had only four starts since debuting in group 3 company in the spring of 2018. Won first-up as a three-year-old last winter but returns now as a gelding off two forward open class trials. Include improving Randwick three-year-old 6. Duty who fought on to land his maiden from the front third-up at Goulburn.

How to play it: Snitzify to win
Odds and Evens: Evens

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Race 8: BM 64 HCP (1400m)

Another wide-open one to finish but three-year-old Godolphin trained gelding 3. Golwen looks primed third-up from a good trailing draw after hitting the line in both runs back from a spell this grade.

Dangers: Home-track mare 2. Speed And Style was ridden further back last start before powering home to win at big odds. Ran a stack of placings early in her career when ridden on-speed, but now looks to have found some versatility and draws the inside, with a 4kg claim. Randwick three-year-old 1. Bullet Master would need to improve second-up under this weight, but was a dominant CL1 winner here in spring from well off the speed. Warwick Farm mare 6. Renalot can mix her form but was strong through the line winning a CL2 second-up at Goulburn, but faces a much tougher draw; while include Wyong mare 14. Joy For Us in exotics. Needs to improve but is hard fit after four runs back.

How to play it: Golwen to win and trifecta 1,2,3/1,2,3,6,14/1,2,3,6,14
Odds and Evens: Split

BEST BETS:
Race 3: (3) SAN ANTONIO
Race 6: (4) ALCHERMES
BEST VALUE:
Race 8: (3) GOLWEN

Tips supplied by Racing NSW.
Full form and race replays available at racingnsw.com.au

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