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Race-by-race tips and preview for Randwick on Saturday

RACE 3 – 12.40PM: SPORTING CHANCE CANCER FOUNDATION HANDICAP (2000m)

It’s a case of the wetter the better for 3. Foxborough given the dominance of her last-start Wagga Guineas victory. The step out to 2000m off a three-week freshen looks ideal coming into this. She won last start by a widening 5.5 lengths and although she beat largely country-class gallopers, there was good strength about her last 600m. Particularly loved her acceleration from the 600-200m skipping through the ground to put a space on her rivals before throttling down. The filly had a frustrating run of outs in her first racing campaign and only broke her maiden in the Canberra Guineas Preview first-up this time in. John Sargent has her flying now though and looks well placed to win to make it three from six this time.
How to play it: Foxborough to win.

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RACE 4 – 1.15PM: TAB LIVE VISION HANDICAP (2000m)

8. New Arrangement looks set to peak now for Chris Waller and only has to handle the conditions to win this. He has been cluttered up inside horses in his last two runs, finishing third on both occasions behind Costello and Welsh Legend and then Yonkers and Gone By. Of this field he is the one banging the door down to break through and doesn’t have a long list of convictions. Finds James McDonald and looks his race to lose. 5. High Opinion gave away an impossible start in the Wagga Cup last start and although beaten six lengths, he did well to get that close in the trying conditions. Hasn’t won since February 2018 but that’ll toughen him up for this if it turns into another slog home.
How to play it: New Arrangement.

RACE 5 – 1.55PM: AT SEA HANDICAP (1100m)

5. Southern Lad loves Randwick (8:2-2-2), handles all tracks and doesn’t have to take much improvement off what he did first up in the Wagga Town Plate, when a fast-finishing second behind Irish Songs, to win this. James McDonald does the steering and although drawn widest, that’s unlikely to be a disadvantage if the forecast rain arrives. This is a very suitable assignment and he is a deserved favourite. 8. Murillo was allowed to stride free in the listed Takeover Target Stakes last start won by Snitz and although he knocked up to be a well beaten sixth, this is a lot easier, he drops back 100m and carries the featherweight of 50.5kg.
How to play it: Southern Lad.

RACE 6 – 2.30PM: CALYX @ COOLMORE AUSTRALIA HANDICAP (1500m)

This race looks tailor-made for 10. Miss Einstein. She tackles it third-up so she’s at her top and we know from her heavy 10 win at Warwick Farm last preparation that she swims. Last start she was badly chopped out of a run at the 75m mark. Perhaps she wins with clear running. She has clearly come back in great order and it was third-up last campaign that she found winning form. Suspect this Dundeel mare will be running around in black-type races over the winter. The stablemate 2. Bold And Wild has won three on the bounce but three weeks between runs and straight out to 1500m a little knock on a likely testing track.
How to play it: Miss Einstein.

RACE 7 – 3.10PM: EXCEEDANCE @ VINERY HANDICAP (1000m)

13. Switched can only run well on the strength of her form lines last preparation. She was pipped by Aquitaine twice which now reads well taking a line through Fituese. One of those seconds was at Randwick over 1200m while on the two other occasions she has raced at the track she finished third to Funstar and got within half-a-length of Catwalk in heavy conditions. There are a number of control freaks in this race who like to wheel along in front uncontested, but Switched is equally comfortable nipping in behind before pouncing late. 11. Longbottom was no match for Blazing Miss last start but she’s very honest, handles the wet, is hard fit and finds James McDonald.
How to play it: Switched to win.

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RACE 8 – 3.50PM: OCTAGONAL HANDICAP (1400m)

3. Archedemus responded to a change of stable first-up in the Hawkesbury Gold Cup, showing a glimpse of his best form which saw him progress from winning his maiden to winning a group 3 in the space of six months. He won seven from eight starts in that purple patch before losing his way. He’s a winner of two from three second-up and loves wet tracks. Comfortably beat one of the best wet-trackers around in Star Of The Seas on a soft 7 one day at Rosehill. The way he races suits wet tracks as he levels out when asked to quicken, building his revs as opposed to accelerating. 4. Dealmaker is edging closer to that elusive third win while 8. Got Unders is a good roughie.
How to play it: Archedemus.

RACE 9 – 4.30PM: SKY RACING ACTIVE HANDICAP (1200m)

3. So Taken is racing as well as ever and it took an exceptional performance from Rocha Clock last start to keep her out. Prior to that she raced without luck in better races than this. Would be quite bullish about her chances had she drawn wider. The Chris Waller four-year-old handles the wet better than most and is well placed again to end her run of outs. 2. Lisdoonvarna is equally adept in wet ground and has shown enough in her two runs back to suggest she is just about ready. The booking of James McDonald for last-start winner 12. Jay Jay D’ar is intriguing given Waller’s strong hand.
How to play it: So Taken.

Tips supplied by Racing NSW.
Full form and race replays available at racingnsw.com.au

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