Race 2 – 2.00PM FROSTED @ DARLEY HANDICAP (1100 METRES)
5. Malkovich needs to produce what he’s done in his two trial wins on race day but if he does he’ll take some stopping. Not disgraced at his only start in a $1 million race where he had to work. Given time and has looked dynamic on trial morning. Hard to beat.
Dangers: 1. I Am Swerving hit the line well into placings in handy two-year-old races at his first two starts then on speed and wasn’t as effective before a break. Not asked for anything in the trial behind Malkovich and will finish closer to him in this race. Whether 1100m is too sharp is the question but he’ll be strong late. 11. Iconically has done nothing wrong on the trial track winning her last couple in heavy ground. Expect she will be just off the speed here and no surprise to see her run well if she reproduces her trials. 4. Legand I Am has only appeared once at the trials and it was on the synthetic so it’s a bit of a question mark. He won it in good style but how that transfers to race day remains to be seen. Check betting for a push.
How to play it: Malkovich win; Trifecta 5/1,4,11/1,4,11. Odds & Evens: Odds.
Race 3 – 2:35PM 2020 YULONG STALLIONS HANDICAP (1250 METRES)
6. Criaderas couldn’t have been more impressive win two provincial wins earlier this year and is a hugely interesting runner. He’s trialled three times and, just like in his races, has looked a little under pressure. Likely to get back but if he’s the same horse that raced in April he’ll make it interesting.
Dangers: 9. On The Lead is a bit like Criaderas in that his couple of provincial wins have been eye-catching and he has barrier one as an advantage here too. Goes from 1000m to 1250m and you have to question the depth of his last win but he can’t do much more and should be hard to beat. 3. Beach Baby resumed with a complete forgive run at Randwick on a heavy 10 where he was in no man’s land for most of the race despite the small field. Back to a good track and drawn well he can lift sharply. 8. Spokesman has his share of ability but didn’t measure up in group company in Brisbane. Trials have been fine and he’s good enough to be in the finish somewhere.
How to play it: Criaderas WIN; Trifecta 6,9/3,6,8,9/3,6,8,9. Odds & Evens: Split.
Race 4 – 3:10PM SKY RACING ACTIVE HANDICAP (1550 METRES)
A bit left-field but 6. Nicconita could cause an upset here at odds. Backs up after beating one home at Newcastle on Saturday with 61kg but was badly cut out at the 200m. Previous form honest and is a strong finisher who is up to this level on her best form and can feature if run to suit.
Dangers: 5. Kingsheir went under at $1.50 at the same meeting after sitting outside the leader. Weakened late and that could be put town to the heavy ground you’d think. Back on a good track he gets his chance to show his best and is worth another chance. 7. Easy Campese probably leads them here and it’ll be interesting to see how it unfolds. Opened a huge lead at Wyong before being run down then far too good at Goulburn both on heavy tracks. Can measure up if he doesn’t overdo it. 2. Relucent has only won the one race in 13 starts but he has the ability when right to be competitive. Never in it on a heavy track first-up but should improve here.
How to play it: Nicconita each-way. Odds & Evens: Split.
Race 5 – 3:45PM HYLAND RACE COLOURS HANDICAP (1100 METRES)
2. Big Parade is an above average horse first-up for Mark Newnham on the back of a couple of synthetic trial wins. Those aside he is Listed placed and measured up to good Saturday company last time in. Well in with the claim and drawn to have his chance. The one to beat.
Dangers: 5. Juan Diva wasn’t disgraced on a soft 7 at Canterbury first-up beaten less than a length and back onto a good track she is a serious danger. Expect she’ll be stalking Big Parade in the run and if she gets a crack at them is more than capable of winning. 10. Rock My Wand ran well in a couple of strong races after breaking her maiden on a heavy track. Whether 1100m is too sharp for her fresh remains to be seen but fitter for two trials and expecting to see something from her first-up. 7. Plaquette was a little out of her depth in the PJ Bell on a heavy track but before that she was honest with a couple of wins and placings behind some handy performers. Worked home well in her trial and is not to be overlooked.
How to play it: Big Parade win; Trifecta 2,5/2,5,7,10/2,5,7,10. Odds & Evens: Split.
Race 6 – 4:20PM HEINEKEN HANDICAP (1400 METRES)
7. Suave is not a heavy-track horse so he ran as well as he could in third behind Badoosh two weeks ago. Will love the good ground here and if he can slot in somewhere from the barrier he should be in the finish.
Dangers: 9. Aoraki is going to need a few things to pan out his way but is worth a look first-up off almost a year’s break at a suitable trip. He was strong late when resuming last prep then won easily second-up and bumped into an in-form mare third-up. Gets back from the wide gate but should be charging at them. 3. Coterie is fitter for one run back where he held his ground at Canterbury over 1250m. Best effort last prep was at 1500m so trip suits, drawn well and has found James McDonald. Definite chance. 4. Greenspan is a knockout chance. He ran well first-up over an unsuitable trip then never in the hunt dropping 50m at Canterbury. But he’s heading towards his preferred trip and a good track suits.
How to play it: Suave win, trifecta 7/3,4,6/3,4,6. Odds & Evens: Odds.
Race 7 – 4:55PM TAB HANDICAP (1250 METRES)
4. Archanna may be under the odds but goes on top because she still has that X-Factor about her from that dominant debut win. She was beaten at $1.70 on this track at her only other start before a spell but she’s clearly come back well looking at her trial. Watch betting and pattern of the day.
Dangers: 7. Instant Attraction races in similar colours to Archanna and she was a little disappointing last time in after showing talent last summer. Hit the line OK in her second synthetic trial and while drawn wide she’s shown tactical prowess in the past. One to keep safe. 2. In Lighten Me won well first-up at Warwick Farm then up in class and didn’t come into play on a soft 7 at Rosehill. Trialled in the same heat as Archanna since then and a good track helps her cause. Has to be included. 1. Amitto enjoyed a good preparation over the summer and early autumn and looked very good, winning her second trial this time in. She led that trial, that’s unlikely first-up from the barrier but she’s a big watch and can be effective fresh.
How to play it: Archanna win; Trifecta 4/1,2,7/1,2,7. Odds & Evens: SPLIT.
Tips supplied by Racing NSW.
Full form and race replays available at racingnsw.com.au