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Race-by-race tips and preview for Kembla Grange on Saturday

RACE 3 — 2.10PM: I98’S MARTY, CRAMMY AND LYNDAL BENCHMARK 78 HANDICAP (2000m)

18. Vegas Jewel is also an acceptor in race 8 and if she does run here this race looks perfect for her to finally break through in Sydney She’s been threatening for a while and though she’s been competitive at her last couple on wet tracks she has a turn of foot that can be decisive on top of the ground. Only has to run up to her effort three starts back, on a good track over 2000m where she was beaten a length by She’s Ideel and Archanna, to be going close. 3. Navy Cross should be at his peak after three runs back from a spell, the past two on heavy tracks, and we know if he gets control he can be hard to run down. 5. Kirwan’s Lane will also appreciate a dry track and looks over the odds on his best form.
How to play it: Vegas Jewel each-way.

RACE 4 — 2.45PM: EVERGREEN TURF AUSTRALIA BENCHMARK 78 HANDICAP (1000m)

7. Destination has proven twice now he’s not particularly comfortable when it gets on the wet side at Randwick so we’ll forgive him his unplaced effort behind The Bopper there back on October 24. He wasn’t disgraced but he wasn’t himself. Drawn to get a soft run behind what looks a strong tempo and he can produce a big sprint under those circumstances. Deserved favourite and hard to beat. If there’s a danger it is 8. Hulk who will have the last shot at Destination. He’s only won two from 20 but he hasn’t raced better than in this preparation. For those who like something at odds 10. Feel The Knight should have won last time at Hawkesbury and he could surprise.
How to play it: Destination to win.

RACE 5 — 3.25PM: ABAX CONTRACTING CG&E BENCHMARK 78 HANDICAP (1200m)

2. Big Parade has been gelded since his 5.5-length win at Canterbury on September 9. That was due to an eventful attempt to run him at the same track two weeks later, and on the evidence of his trials it hasn’t made him go backwards. Really strong in winning the second of them just 10 days ago and the wide gate should be no concern as he has the early speed to get across. He will either lead them or happily sit outside anything that kicks up underneath. He’s finished top-two in five of his seven starts as a colt so if gelding improves him he’ll run through the grades and this is no harder than what he’s met previously. 1. Pandemic has the best sprint here and question is whether he can use it at 1200m as he loomed and didn’t finish off at his only try. Slick sectionals first-up.
How to play it: Big Parade to win.

Big Parade has had a significant gear change since his last win in September.

Big Parade has had a significant gear change since his last win in September.Credit:Getty

RACE 6 — 4.05PM: TRAFFIC LOGISTICS F&M BENCHMARK 78 HANDICAP (1200m)

12. Stolen Jade is just flying this preparation and while she steps up in class again there’s no reason to drop off her. She sat wide when winning arrogantly first-up at Gosford then led all the way, though with something trying to kick up inside her, at Canterbury last Friday night charging away at the finish. Imagine she will put herself in this race somewhere in the first four, she’s tough and it’s hard to know where her limit is just yet. Great each-way chance. 2. Intrepidacious has been treading water waiting for a dry track since her first-up win at Warwick Farm in early October. Kept up to the mark with a couple of easy trial wins and she will go forward and, if able to control, take some catching. 13. Macushla ran well at her first start for Chris Waller and stays under notice too.
How to play it: Stolen Jade each-way.

RACE 7 — 4.45PM: THE TAB GONG (1600m)

7. Dawn Passage ran out of his skin in the Golden Eagle on a heavy track, which he doesn’t particularly love, and it was an effort that says he’s ready to win a big race. This one looks tailor-made for him with the small caveat that he may need some breaks to get clear air from barrier one. He was the eye-catcher of the Silver Eagle then in the $7.5m feature he sat wide without cover, loomed like the winner at the 200m and just couldn’t sustain it. He’s fitted up with an extra trial and gets back on a dry track. That said 11. Purple Sector is a worthy rival; he’s been a different horse since he was gelded and he was dynamic over a mile at Randwick on Everest day running the fastest last 200m of the meeting. He was all at sea at Flemington and still won last time, drawn well and if Dawn Passage doesn’t win he probably will.
How to play it: Dawn Passage to win.

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RACE 8 — 5.25PM: POLYTRACK BENCHMARK 88 HANDICAP (1600m)

3. Soldier Of Love appeals as a big improver second-up in a race that looks a bit tricky given it doesn’t look to have a heap of speed. To be fair he was just OK first-up in the Goulburn Cup but he was supported there and his record, consistent as it is, says he improves into a preparation. This fellow has some tactical speed so it wouldn’t surprise to see him roll across and take up a spot in the first three or four and from there he’s more than capable of winning. Watch betting. 1. Berdibek signalled he is in for a good summer campaign by winning first-up in the greys race at Flemington over 1400m with a strong late burst. Mile helps but he will be giving away a start. If he runs well but doesn’t win keep with him as he gets out in distance. 4. Matowi is on the back-up and, with a sharp turn of foot, could steal a race like this if slowly run.
How to play it: Soldier of Love each-way.

RACE 9 — 6PM: PFD FOOD SERVICES BENCHMARK 78 HANDICAP (1400m)

We’re getting towards last chance territory but 7. Night Of Power will leave Kembla with no excuses if he can’t go very close this time. He’s first-up as a gelding and has trialled very nicely, as he can do, but crucially strikes a dry track which he didn’t do last prep first-up when heavily backed. He found himself on the slow section and we were all left to wonder what might have been. This is a very winnable race and James McDonald has been found to ride him, as he did in that first-up attempt. Again, betting late will tell a story but he has to run well. 2. Rule The World is some chance of getting control on the pace while 10. Greek Hero will have fans given he’s trialling well and won at Kembla on Australian debut three runs ago.
How to play it: Night Of Power each-way.

Tips supplied by Racing NSW
Full form and race replays available at racingnsw.com.au

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