Selections based on heavy 8 and rail true
Race 1 COLTS, GELDINGS & ENTIRES MAIDEN PLATE (1000m)
Tough opener. Very keen on provincial three-year-old 7. The Jaguar, who resumes as a gelding in suitable ground from the inside draw. Hasn’t publicly trialled but that’s typical for the stable, and was close-up in both starts last spring.
Dangers: Improving 8. The Regular Show chased home a smart filly third-up, and he’s by renowned wet track sire No Nay Never. Watch the betting on Outreach two-year-old 10. Bigdoggottaeat, who debuts in blinkers for the leading provincial stable and was given plenty of time at the trials. Keep safe another two-year-old 11. Oblivion, by Winning Rupert, who is also back as a gelding off a forward trial. 4. Gigastar gets blinkers for the first time fourth-up.
How to play it: The Jaguar to win and first four 7,8,10,11/4,7,8,10,11/4,7,8,10,11/4,7,8,10,11; Odds and Evens: Split
Race 2 FILLIES & MARES MAIDEN PLATE (1000m)
The girls’ edition isn’t a whole lot easier. Tough Coffs filly 5. Continuum has been banging on the door all prep and only missed narrowly in her last few. Hard fit with a crucial 4kg claim for an inexperienced rider.
Dangers: Consistent filly 4. Chocolate Kisses hasn’t missed a place in her last four and is drawn to get another cosy run on speed but struggles to finish off. Ex-Victorian filly 8. Little Miss Dotty can show up for the new local stable off a two-month break and with blinkers back on. Keep safe 1. A Tender Lady fourth-up from a good draw.
How to play it: Continuum each way and box trifecta 1,4,5,8; Odds and Evens: Split
Race 3 MAIDEN HCP (1400m)
Coffs three-year-old and ex-Victorian 7. Hengst did his best work late first-up since last November under a big weight. Looks even better placed here and proven to react on rain-affected ground.
Dangers: Improving three-year-old 2. Atomic Surprise peaks here after holding ground through the line at only his second start. Keep safe Nicconi three-year-old 1. Joher Spirit, who debuts off two improving trials.
How to play it: Hengst to win; Odds and Evens: Split
Race 4 BENCHMARK 66 HCP (2000m)
Good race. Another battle of tactics and tempo plays into the hands of progressive four-year-old 2. Oakfield Cherokee despite coming back a little in distance. Fell in as a hot favourite three runs back before powering home in his next two, including a last-start CL6 win from well off the speed. The one to beat.
Dangers: Progressive provincial mare 1. Justitia is searching for this longer trip after two runs back. 3. Theo Legion put paid to a handy CL3 field last start on a heavy 8 and stretched out to this distance for the first time. Underrated five-year-old 4. Hubble also jumps in trip deep into his prep. 6. Jazirat draws well with a more seasoned rider aboard.
How to play it: Oakfield Cherokee to win; Odds and Evens: Split