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When will Victoria reach its 70 per cent first-dose target?

Victoria is on track to have 70 per cent of those aged 16 and over inoculated with one dose of a COVID-19 vaccine by September 18, an analysis of vaccine rollout data by The Age has found.

Premier Daniel Andrews announced last Wednesday that some lockdown restrictions would ease in Victoria once 70 per cent of the eligible population (those aged over 16) had received their first dose of a COVID-19 vaccine.

People queue to be vaccinated at the Royal Exhibition Building in Carlton on Saturday.

People queue to be vaccinated at the Royal Exhibition Building in Carlton on Saturday. Credit:Joe Armao

When Mr Andrews made that announcement, the state was projected to reach target on around September 23, but an increase in daily vaccine doses administered since then means Victoria is now on track to meet the goal sooner than anticipated.

This graph, shows how the state is tracking against the 70 per cent first-dose target:

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To put it another way, about 3,785,300 Victorians need to be fully vaccinated to reach the 70 per cent first-dose target. A total of 3,285,211 have received their first Pfizer or AstraZeneca shot already, which means there are about 500,000 to go.

Once the 70 per cent target is met, rules to be eased include the five-kilometre travel limit being expanded to 10 kilometres and daily permitted exercise time being extended from two to three hours.

Over the past seven days there have been 38,800 people a day on average receiving their first vaccine dose in Victoria. On Sunday, there were 22,998 first doses administered statewide, but keep in mind that vaccination numbers tend to be lowest on Sundays.

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