Race 5 CLASS 2 HCP (1600m)
Provincial five-year-old 2. Underboss has been disappointing in his last couple since surging home to win a C1, but draws the inside gate here, with regular rider back on in a monumental boost.
Dangers: Provincial four-year-old 5. Full Coverage is going great guns this prep winning two of three, digging in hard here 18 days to claim a C1. Gets through rain-affected ground and is more than ready for this next step. Stablemate mare 6. Unwavering Faith can peak third-up, although likely to be forced well back from the wide barrier. Tough provincial four-year-old 3. Flying Scotsman has never raced better, driving home from just off the speed to win his last two, although handicapper hasn’t missed him back up to 59kg in the same country class.
How to play it: Underboss to win and trifecta 2,5/2,3,5,6/2,3,5,6; Odds and Evens:
Race 6 CLASS 3 HCP (1400m)
Not a big field, but classy for this grade. Progressive mare 7. Par Avion is on the rise, and shooting for three wins from her last four. Swept home to trounce Underboss, who contests the race prior, in a C2 here, and thrives on soft tracks. Will settle back from the inside draw and be very strong in the run home.
Dangers: Provincial five-year-old 1. Camp Rifle has ability and can produce big final splits but hasn’t won for a long time and seemingly finds ways to get rolled. That said, he comes back from a couple of strong efforts in metro grade over the border and draws to get an ideal trail. Honest five-year-old 4. Lord Avatar rarely runs a bad one and is a reliable weight carrier. Swept home from the back in dominant fashion at Grafton but far more depth here. Tough six-year-old 2. Nowyunomi is a risk coming back from the mile under this weight but the more rain the better.
How to play it: Par Avion to win; Odds and Evens: Split
Race 7 BENCHMARK 58 HCP (1250m)
Open battle to finish, with plenty of chances. Promising home track mare 14. Nevada Smoke resumed with a dominant all-the-way maiden win at Port Macquarie and can win again carrying 2kg less.
Dangers: Hard-fit mare 13. Yulong Monoceros comes off a fast-finishing BM 58 win. 6. Austeja from a soft draw and 5. Apache Red resuming go in exotics.
How to play it: Nevada Smoke each way; Odds and Evens: Split
BEST BETS: Race 1 (2) NICCI KNEE KNACK; Race 6: (7) PAR AVION
BEST VALUE: Race 5 (2) UNDERBOSS
Tips supplied by Racing NSW.
Full form and race replays available at racingnsw.com.au.
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