Professor Nancy Baxter, a clinical epidemiologist and head of Melbourne School of Population and Global Health, expects the Victorian government will allow small-scale outdoor gatherings at the same time it eases travel and exercise limits. The state opposition has been calling for outdoor social bubbles for members of the same family to meet for gatherings like picnics.
Mr Andrews said all of his government’s decisions would be guided by an intention to keep hospital wards from overflowing with COVID-19 patients. He said it was too early to know at what point critical elective surgery and other hospital services might need to be stopped to free up resources for COVID-19 patients.
“We’ll do everything we can to avoid that,” he said. “It’s not quite linear. It’s not once you get to 501 people in ICU you can’t do elective [surgeries]. It’ll be different hospitals doing different things because not all of them will have COVID patients,” he said.
A total of 59,651 children aged between 12 and 15 have received their first COVID-19 vaccine dose, newly released federal Health Department data shows. People in that age bracket became eligible for the Pfizer vaccine on Monday and about 5 per cent have received their first jab.
In Victoria, more cases emerged from the construction sector and the largest industry outbreak in Box Hill grew to 134 cases. As a vaccination and compliance blitz began in the sector, Mr Andrews said the onus was on the industry to follow the rules.
The head of Victoria’s construction union, John Setka, said he did not support mandatory COVID-19 vaccinations for construction workers.
“I’d rather have the conversation with people and talk them around and dispel the myths.”
John Setka, CFMEU
His union and other construction organisations are leading a vaccine blitz across the industry and educating workers, but Mr Setka said employees with “genuine concerns” about vaccination needed to be respected. Many union leaders have expressed similar concerns about mandated jabs.
“I’d rather have the conversation with people and talk them around and dispel the myths,” Mr Setka said.
Professor Baxter said Chief Health Officer Brett Sutton’s public-health team would probably be reluctant to ease any restrictions given the rapid rises in case numbers. However, she predicted the government would grant low-risk outdoor freedoms to maintain public acceptance of lockdowns and offer a signal of hope.
Professor Baxter said the Victorian community was understandably anxious to loosen public-health rules, but waiting even a few weeks – when vaccination rates improved – could decrease the risk of cases spiking as restrictions eased.
“It could mean we have a much better Christmas and avoid putting pressure on the health system,” she said.
The public-health expert said the road map out of lockdown when Victoria reached the 70 per cent and 80 per cent double-dose targets – expected in late November and early December – would depend entirely on how stretched the hospital system was when those targets were reached.
“The question will be whether we have peaked by then, or if we’re still at a challenging point,” she said, adding that infected people would be far less likely to die when vaccine coverage rises.
Two cases were recorded in regional Victoria on Tuesday, including a V/Line train driver on the Surf Coast and a Ballarat resident who works at a Melbourne construction site.
Also on Tuesday, the state government lifted a ban on some pet grooming services, which were previously allowed only in urgent circumstances. Outdoor and contact-free pet grooming is now permitted.
Deputy Premier and Mental Health Minister James Merlino said the state would spend $22 million to create 20 pop-up mental health clinics with 90 clinicians from September.
Psychiatrist and mental health advocate Pat McGorry praised the government for its investment and said the pandemic had produced deep pyschological problems in the community. “The people that are really suffering at the moment are young people,” Professor McGorry said.
He said young people were being turned away from emergency departments each day because hospitals could not cope with the number of patients turning up with acute mental health issues.
Executive director of the Australian Association of Psychologists Tegan Carrison said the hubs were a good idea, but it would be difficult to find staff to run them given the “extreme” workforce shortage. Both she and Mental Health Victoria chief executive Gus Clelland called on the Morrison government to support Victoria’s investment in a time of crisis.
“Where are the 90 additional staff going to come from?” Ms Carrison asked. “Waiting lists are growing by the day, with many people waiting months to see a psychologist.”
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